Lac Abbe, Djibouti

Animal Feed Production and Distribution

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Animal Feed Production and Distribution

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
5% - 10% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 50 million - USD 100 million
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 500,000 - USD 1 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2) Life on Land (SDG 15) Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Good health and well-being (SDG 3) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Establish and upscale production and distribution of livestock feed, adapted to local context and needs.

Expected Impact

Improve agricultural productivity, render livestock production more sustainable, and improve nutritional situation.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Djibouti: Countrywide
  • Djibouti: Obock
  • Djibouti: Tadjourah
  • Djibouti: Dikhil
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
Only 10% of Djibouti's demand for fruits and vegetables is domestically produced. The country's agricultural sector is made up of small plots and subsistence farming techniques. Boosting agricultural activity could generate employment and help address the high dependence on imports for food security and rising levels of desertification in rural areas (1).

Policy priority
Among the Government's priorities to diversify the economy is expanding agriculture and fishing activities, with agriculture's contribution to GDP expected to reach 5% by 2035. Other Government plans include the 2009 Master Plan for the Development of the Primary Sector, and the Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Employment Promotion (1, 2).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Coping mechanisms of peasant farmers in Djibouti’s rural regions have been eroded. High food prices and unemployment rates, particularly among the youth and women, affect the country’s urban areas. All these factors have increased vulnerability to food insecurity and spurred migration (3).

Investment opportunities introduction
Providing access to water, conserving soil, diversifying livelihoods of women and fishermen, supporting agricultural, livestock and fisheries production and sensitization and mobilization of beneficiary communities in participatory planning and project implementation can help prevent displacement and strengthen resilience from climate change and droughts (4).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Challenges in the agricultural sector include high food prices and unemployment and increased vulnerability to food insecurity and migration due to successive years of drought and interspersed rain causing flash floods.

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
60% of Djibouti's population depend on livestock resources as a source of livelihood. Among the challenges facing the sector is lack of rainfall to naturally produce pasture/fodder and insufficient groundwater to grow irrigated livestock feed. 80% of Djibouti’s livestock remain in the traditional pastoral system, which is dependent on natural feed (5). Pastoral destitution in East Africa is largely driven by feed and water scarcity due to prolonged and extreme climate events (6).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Herd mobility due to feed and water scarcity denies women and children access to milk due to the migration of the herd, which exacerbates already poor nutrition among these groups (6).

Investment opportunities introduction
Djibouti is well-placed to export livestock if it can successfully expand its herds. Approximately two million animals pass through the country annually towards Ethiopia and Somalia (1).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Challenges in the subsector include seasonality of feeds and water, overgrazing and degradation of rangelands, prolonged and more frequent climate events, and inadequate Government support to support sustainable livestock production.

Industry

Agricultural Products

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Animal Feed Production and Distribution

Business Model

Establish and upscale production and distribution of livestock feed, adapted to local context and needs.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 50 million - USD 100 million

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

1.36 million livestock require 35,100 tonnes of feed per year

The total value of Djibout's animal products is DJF 15.78 billion (USD 89 million) and the total value of goods and services directly provided by Djibouti's livestock sector is DJF 17.10 billion (USD 97 million) (23).

Djibouti's total livestock population is estimated at 1.36 million with a total annual feed requirement of 35,100 tonnes (9)

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

5% - 10%

Benchmark returns from investments in animal feed production fluctuate around 12% (10).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Due to the capital expenditure required for plant construction, the investment timeframe for animal feed production is estimated to be above five years (11).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 500,000 - USD 1 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Animal feed production may be limited by the low amount of raw materials and water supply due to extreme and prolonged climatic events (9).

Business - Business Model Unproven

Djibouti's livestock sector is currently dominated by an open-grazing production system, and hence pastoralist farmers may not be familiar with animal feed and may consider it as too expensive (9).

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

The potential of animal feed production may be limited by Djibouti's challenges in commercializing livestock production, which includes lack of trained person power, lack of credit facilities for livestock owners and the absence of an export system (25).

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Due to Djibouti's arid climate, only 0.1% of land is used for crop production. The country's domestic food production satisfies only 20% of the grain needs and 10% of the fruit and vegetable requirements of the population (24).

80% of Djibouti's livestock are kept in a traditional pastoral system, which is dependent on natural feed. The natural resource base in the rangelands is shrinking due to prolonged and more frequent extreme climate events (9, 12). In the absence of fodder, sedenterization of livestock breeders leads to the degradation of pastures and natural resources (13).

Besides the feed shortages and overgrazing, the management of the livestock sector in Djibouti is characterized as being constrained by low genetic potential of animals and a subsistence mentality (25).

Gender & Marginalisation

The seasonality of feeds and water means that people and livestock have to move to areas of resource concentration, which limits women's and children's access to milk and exacerbates the already poor nutritional situation (12).

Livestock constitutes the main means of capitalization and income for rural households, as 80% of the rural population (161,600 people) comprise nomads who practice livestock rearing (13).

Expected Development Outcome

Feed production leads to increased agricultural activity related to livestock and enhanced productivity and income for producers. It reduces malnutrition, stunting and hunger due to increased supply of protein from livestock and increased export volumes.

Animal feed production and distribution addresses the shinking natural resource base in rangelands and increases the environmental sustainability level of livestock rearing.

Gender & Marginalisation

Livestock feed improves farming conditions and income for rural communities and female farmers. It increases food security for women and children who are adversely impacted by herd movements.

Primary SDGs addressed

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.1.1 Prevalence of undernourishment

2.2.1 Prevalence of stunting (height for age <-2 standard deviation from the median of the World Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth Standards) among children under 5 years of age

Current Value

18.9% (2017) (15).

Prevalence of stunting in children under five years of age 31.01% (2019) (14).

Target Value

0% (globally) (14).

0% (globally) (14).

Life on Land (SDG 15)
15 - Life on Land

15.3.1 Proportion of land that is degraded over total land area

Current Value

Mean area that is protected in terrestrial sites important to biodiversity is 0.81% (2019) (14).

Target Value

100% (globally) (14).

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth

8.1.1 Annual growth rate of real GDP per capita

Current Value

GDP per capita growth was above 6% in two consecutive years, before turning negative in 2020 (16).

Target Value

Targeted rates of annual GDP growth are above 11% for each year between 2023 and 2034 (17).

Secondary SDGs addressed

1 - No Poverty
3 - Good Health and Well-Being
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Livestock farmers enjoy greater employment opportunities, and food insecure population groups gain access to increased nutritional food and protein production.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Feed production improves farming conditions for rural communities and increases food security for women and children.

Planet

Environment enjoys an alternative to harmful grazing practices to move towards regeneration of rangelands with its pastures and natural resources.

Corporates

Pasture management firms and dairy producers benefit from enhanced livestock activities, transportation enterprises access new market opportunities.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Small and mid-scale dairy farmers and cooperatives, and communities benefit from wider use of sustainable farming and grazing practices.

Public sector

The Government benefs from a stronger agricultural sector, contributing positively to the country's economy and the wellbeing of citizens.

Outcome Risks

Increased livestock production may lead to negative environmental externalities related with water and air pollution and land degradation (18).

Livestock production may carry risks associated with improper crop rotation and unsustainable crop growing practices, such as use of pesticides.

Feed production may lead to a higher demand for crops and arable land for feed production, as feeding an animal requires three times the amount of crops necessary to feed a person (19).

Impact Risks

Inappropriate pricing strategies for feed products may result in livestock farmers not being able to buy quality feeds, which might limit the scale of the expected impact.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Animal feed production and distribution improves agricultural productivity, renders livestock production more sustainable, and improves nutritional situation.

Risk

While the model of animal feed production is proven, potential negative environmental externalities from livestock production and product affordability for the market require consideration.

Impact Thesis

Improve agricultural productivity, render livestock production more sustainable, and improve nutritional situation.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Employment Promotion (SCAPE) 2015-2019, 2014: Includes the reduction of vulnerability to climate change and sustainable development in regional poles in its strategic orientations, with a focus on the development of a National Adaptation Plan (13, 21).

Djibouti Vision 2035, 2014: Embraces the national priorities defined in the National Agricultural Investment and Food and Nutritional Security Programme in terms of support for vulnerable groups, hydro-agricultural development, and food security (13, 20).

Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC), 2015: Sets out the Djibouti's voluntary commitments in terms of greenhouse gas mitigation and adaptation to climate change by 2030, as well as the conditions necessary to achieve the set objectives (13).

National Programme for Agricultural Investment and Food and Nutritional Security 2016-2020, 2015: Identifies accessibility to nutritious food as the overall objective. Lists food security, economic growth and export orientation, and support to vulnerable groups among four major programmes with relevance to animal feed production and distribution (13).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The package of priority proposals agreed in the Horn of Africa Initiative includes a pastoralist livestock insurance programme with USD 0.4 billion of concessional capital intended to leverage USD 1.6 billion from the private sector (26).

Other incentives: The establishment of the Damerjog Regional Livestock Quarantine Center and a certification process allows for livestock exportation since 2006. The facility and the state-led verification process draws in more regional livestock trade with animals from north-eastern Ethiopia being processed through Djibouti (24).

Regulatory Environment

Law No. 51, 2009: Establishes the Environmental Code and defines the content of an Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA), which must include an analysis of the basic environmental conditions of the project site, a description of the project, the environmental impacts of the project and measures to eliminate, reduce or mitigate negative impacts on the environment and public health, an estimate of the cost of implementing measures, an environmental management plan, and the findings of a public hearing (13).

Decree No. 65, 2004: Regarding the protection of biodiversity, it defines the animal and plant species that are endemic or endangered in Djibouti. It states that the removal or uprooting of endangered or endemic plant species is prohibited, and that the removal of trees without prior authorization is prohibited (13).

Law No. 200, 2007: Defines the responsibilities of the Ministry of Agriculture, Water, Fisheries, Livestock, and Fishery Resources as charged with animal production; veterinary and food control; fishery production; plant production and improvement of vegetation cover; studies and exploitation of water resources; design and construction of surface hydraulic infrastructures as well as the access roads to these structures; preparation and control of the sanitation policy (13).

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Alema Koudijs Feed, Tamfeeds, Concfeed International, Premier Feed Mills, Quantum Foods, Wadi Group, AGFRI Animal Feeds.

Government

Ministry of Agriculture, Water, Fisheries, Livestock and Fishery Resources; Ministry of the Interior; Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation, Ministry of Economy and Finance; Ministry of Women and Family; Djibouti Social Development Agency (ADDS).

Multilaterals

African Development Bank (AfDB), Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO), World Food Programme (WFP), European Investment Bank (EIB), World Bank.

Non-Profit

Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDc), National Investment Promotion Agency (NIPA), Djibouti Chamber of Commerce, CCentre de Leadership et de l'Entrepreneuriat (CLE).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Djibouti: Countrywide

Livestock is one of the main livelihood opportunities in rural areas: 90% of Djibouti's rural population depends on livestock production systems (22, 24).
rural

Djibouti: Obock

Moderately food secure households who are characterized by a relatively high reliance on own production of milk and meat, are mainly concentrated in Obock and Tadjourah and are threatened by climatic conditions, and report the most livestock deaths (25).
semi-urban

Djibouti: Tadjourah

Moderately food secure households who are characterized by a relatively high reliance on own production of milk and meat, are mainly concentrated in Obock and Tadjourah and are threatened by climatic conditions, and report the most livestock deaths (25).
rural

Djibouti: Dikhil

Dhikil exhibits the highest global acute malnutrition levels at 12.9% (25).

References

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